भारत की नब्ज़India PulseThe live pulse of Indian politics

PoliticsDelhiRajasthanTripuraWest Bengal

Morning Pulse: Shah answers the street with scorecards, and the Congress answers with a rigging charge

Amit Shah used local and bypoll results to tell Rahul Gandhi that SIR is not why the Congress loses; Jairam Ramesh called it bluster. A Delhi High Court plea on Jantar Mantar was pushed to November. Markets opened flat.

Pan India Pulse deskBased on reports from ThePrint (ANI), Asianet Newsable (ANI), The Daily Jagran, Scrollहिन्दी में पढ़ें

The government side finally spoke, and it chose numbers over procedure. Last night we noted that the BJP had not answered the opposition's Tuesday press conference. Within an hour of our Evening Pulse, Union Home Minister Amit Shah did, telling Rahul Gandhi in effect that the voter-roll fight is a cover for lost elections. By midnight the Congress had replied that the real contest of 2029 is already being rigged. Neither side engaged the other's evidence. Each pointed to its own.

Shah spoke to reporters in Delhi on Tuesday evening, ThePrint and Asianet Newsable reported, both carrying ANI. He cited the BJP's showing in Rajasthan's urban local body polls, where he said the party won 90% of municipal corporations, 66% of municipal councils and 65% of municipalities, and claimed AAP lost its deposit in more than 85% of wards. In Tripura's village committee polls, he said the Congress won only 14 of about 4,600 seats. "These elections serve as a lesson for Rahul Gandhi," ThePrint quoted him as saying. The seat totals he gave for the NDA in Tripura did not add up cleanly in the published accounts, so we have left them out.

He also pointed to recent bypolls in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu and Puducherry, where he said the Congress won no seat, The Daily Jagran and Scroll reported. His argument was simple: the Congress was losing before the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) began, so the revision cannot explain its defeats. Scroll and Prabhasakshi reported that he went further and accused Gandhi of trying to shield "infiltrators" by opposing the revision. He told Gandhi and his allies to prepare for "a crushing defeat" in 2029. That is a political boast, not a forecast we can test, and we report it only as his claim.

The Congress reply came late at night. Communications chief Jairam Ramesh said on X that Shah was back with his "3 Bs - Bombast, Bluff and Bluster", ANI and Scroll reported. He alleged that Shah was already preparing to manipulate the 2029 election and said Shah would face investigations if the government lost power. These are allegations; neither report carried evidence for them, and we found no BJP response to Ramesh.

The courts again set the pace. On Tuesday evening, Justice Amit Mahajan of the Delhi High Court issued notice on a plea by the Indian Youth Congress and its president, Uday Bhanu Chib, against a Delhi Police order of October 1 that refused permission for a protest at Jantar Mantar against Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar, Asianet Newsable and The Daily Jagran reported. Additional Solicitor General Chetan Sharma, for the police, argued the plea had become pointless because Jantar Mantar had been de-notified as a protest site following a Supreme Court order of October 9. The case returns on November 17. That leaves the opposition's promised legal challenge to the de-notification without a quick answer from this court.

The loops from last night: we found no report this morning that the 14 defects in the INDIA bloc's SIR petition have been cured, so it is still not listed. We also found no public response from the Election Commission or Gyanesh Kumar to the resignation demand, and no report of police notices to leaders named in Monday's FIRs. The opposition has still not revealed the next step Gandhi called a surprise.

Markets took a breather after Tuesday's 1,109-point jump. The Sensex opened almost flat and the Nifty slipped below 22,700 in early trade, while IT stocks led gains for a second day, Business Standard and IANS reported. Both noted Brent crude near $106 to $107 a barrel. Business Standard said the rupee opened at about 95.01 to the dollar, up 27 paise, and IANS said the currency had gained nearly 1.5% over two sessions after the RBI moved to curb speculation.

Pulse view

Analysis by the Pulse desk

Shah's intervention changes the shape of the fight. Until Tuesday the government let procedure speak: registry defects, FIRs, a de-notified protest site. Now its most senior strategist has made it a contest of mandates. That is a strong card, because local and bypoll wins are real votes. It is also a partial answer. Winning elections does not show that a particular deletion was correct, and the opposition's case rests on records, not on scorecards. The "infiltrators" charge, meanwhile, raises the temperature without settling who was wrongly removed.

The Congress has its own gap. Calling 2029 rigged in advance makes for a sharp line on X, but it risks sounding like a pre-emptive excuse, which is exactly what Shah accused it of. And while both sides trade claims, the institutions at the centre stay quiet or slow: the Election Commission has not spoken, the Supreme Court is waiting on paperwork, and the High Court has set Jantar Mantar aside until mid-November.

If winning elections cannot prove a voter list is clean, and losing them cannot prove it is rigged, what evidence should settle the SIR dispute in the public mind?

What they are saying

These elections serve as a lesson for Rahul Gandhi.

I want to tell Shri Rahul ji and his associates to prepare themselves once again for a crushing defeat in 2029.

The trust of the people cannot be earned through manufactured media events and the echo of falsehoods.

Amit Shah, Union Home Minister, Scroll

The Supreme Court had said appropriate sites need to be identified and designated, and we have precisely done that.

What to watch

  • Thursday, October 15: the Centre's affidavit in the metro curbs contempt case and the Supreme Court hearing on the batch of Delhi protest pleas.
  • Whether the INDIA bloc cures the 14 defects so the Supreme Court can list its SIR petition.
  • Any BJP reply to Jairam Ramesh's rigging allegation, and whether Rahul Gandhi answers Amit Shah directly.
  • Any public word from the Election Commission or CEC Gyanesh Kumar on the resignation demand.
  • November 17: the Delhi High Court hearing on the Youth Congress plea over Jantar Mantar.

Your take

Do you agree with the Pulse view?

Sources

  1. 'Recent polls serve as lesson for Rahul Gandhi': Amit Shah hits back at INDIA bloc amid anti-SIR stir ThePrint (ANI)
  2. Amit Shah cites Rajasthan, Tripura poll wins to attack opposition Asianet Newsable (ANI)
  3. Amit Shah's 'Crushing Defeat In 2029' Message To Oppn, Rejects Rahul Gandhi's SIR Charge The Daily Jagran
  4. Rahul Gandhi spreading lies about SIR to cover Congress poll defeats: Amit Shah amid CEC protests Scroll
  5. राहुल पर अमित शाह का पलटवार, SIR के बहाने घुसपैठियों को बचा रहे कांग्रेस नेता Prabhasakshi
  6. "Not going to happen": Jairam Ramesh dismisses Amit Shah's prediction of BJP's victory in 2029 Lok Sabha elections ANI
  7. Jantar Mantar protest row: Delhi HC seeks police response on IYC plea Asianet Newsable
  8. 'Jantar Mantar Denotified as Protest Site Based on Supreme Court Orders', Delhi Police Informs High Court The Daily Jagran
  9. Stock Market LIVE: Sensex falls 100 pts, Nifty near 22,700; Rupee strengthens Business Standard
  10. Sensex, Nifty open flat amid mixed cues; IT shares shine IANS

Open live India Pulse